{"id":2224,"date":"2026-08-12T17:37:17","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:37:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224"},"modified":"2026-08-12T17:37:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:37:17","slug":"from-landslides-to-nail-biters-the-great-midwest-polling-meltdown-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224","title":{"rendered":"From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<p>A pair of high-profile Democratic primaries in the Midwest were supposed to be runaway victories for far-left candidates, according to weeks of bloated survey numbers. Instead, election night delivered a pair of nail-biting finishes that exposed pollsters as completely out to lunch.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2223\">Abdul El-Sayed Dedicated His Life To Sharia Law<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In Wisconsin, Democratic socialist state Rep. Francesca Hong was supposed to waltz into the governor\u2019s nomination. Pundits spent months hyperventilating over her double-digit dominance. Poll after poll showed Hong lapping the field. A late PPP poll put her up by 18, while Marquette had her leading by an eye-popping 22 points in late July.<\/p>\n<p>Yet when voters actually showed up, the supposed landslide vanished into thin air.<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, who had actually suspended his struggling campaign earlier this summer due to low numbers and thin cash, staged an incredible resurrection. Re-entering the fray with the crucial backing of outgoing Gov.Tony Evers, Crowley pulled off a jaw-dropping comeback. With 95% of the vote tallied, Crowley squeaked out a victory with 39.81% over Hong\u2019s 39.34%, while Kelda Roys lagged far behind at 7.5%. The Associated Press officially called the race for Crowley, capping off one of the biggest polling whiffs in recent Badger State history.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2222\">Democrats\u2019 \u2018Moderate\u2019 Wisconsin Nominee Has His Own Woke Skeletons In The Closet<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Across the lake in Michigan, pollsters didn\u2019t fare any better.<\/p>\n<p>In the Democratic senatorial primary, hard-Left favorite Abdul El-Sayed was projected to crush rival Rep.Haley Stevens. Emerson had El-Sayed cruising ahead by 15 points, Mitchell Research put him up by 14, and Data for Progress called it a 13-point lead.<\/p>\n<p>When the final tallies rolled in, the \u201clandslide\u201d turned into a total mud fight. El-Sayed barely managed to cross the finish line, eking out a razor-thin 1% victory over Stevens (48.5% to 47.5%), with Mallory McMorrow taking 4.0%.<\/p>\n<p>While both contests ended with outcomes vastly different from the promised hype, one trend is crystal clear: If you\u2019re looking for accurate predictions, you\u2019d probably have better luck asking a crystal ball than reading the latest poll.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2218\">From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pair of high-profile Democratic primaries in the Midwest were supposed to be runaway victories for far-left candidates, according to weeks of bloated survey numbers. Instead, election night delivered a pair of nail-biting finishes that exposed pollsters as completely out to lunch.In Wisconsin, Democratic socialist state Rep. Francesca Hong was supposed to waltz into the governor\u2019s nomination. Pundits spent months hyperventilating over her double-digit dominance. Poll after poll showed Hong lapping the field. A late PPP poll put her up by 18, while Marquette had her leading by an eye-popping 22 points in late July.Yet when voters actually showed up, the supposed landslide vanished into thin air.Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, who had actually suspended his struggling campaign earlier this summer due to low numbers and thin cash, staged an incredible resurrection. Re-entering the fray with the crucial backing of outgoing Gov.Tony Evers, Crowley pulled off a jaw-dropping comeback. With 95% of the vote tallied, Crowley squeaked out a victory with 39.81% over Hong\u2019s 39.34%, while Kelda Roys lagged far behind at 7.5%. The Associated Press officially called the race for Crowley, capping off one of the biggest polling whiffs in recent Badger State history.Across the lake in Michigan, pollsters didn\u2019t fare any better.In the Democratic senatorial primary, hard-Left favorite Abdul El-Sayed was projected to crush rival Rep.Haley Stevens. Emerson had El-Sayed cruising ahead by 15 points, Mitchell Research put him up by 14, and Data for Progress called it a 13-point lead.When the final tallies rolled in, the \u201clandslide\u201d turned into a total mud fight. El-Sayed barely managed to cross the finish line, eking out a razor-thin 1% victory over Stevens (48.5% to 47.5%), with Mallory McMorrow taking 4.0%.While both contests ended with outcomes vastly different from the promised hype, one trend is crystal clear: If you\u2019re looking for accurate predictions, you\u2019d probably have better luck asking a crystal ball than reading the latest poll.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1978,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown - Blue Route Journal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown - Blue Route Journal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A pair of high-profile Democratic primaries in the Midwest were supposed to be runaway victories for far-left candidates, according to weeks of bloated survey numbers. Instead, election night delivered a pair of nail-biting finishes that exposed pollsters as completely out to lunch.In Wisconsin, Democratic socialist state Rep. Francesca Hong was supposed to waltz into the governor\u2019s nomination. Pundits spent months hyperventilating over her double-digit dominance. Poll after poll showed Hong lapping the field. A late PPP poll put her up by 18, while Marquette had her leading by an eye-popping 22 points in late July.Yet when voters actually showed up, the supposed landslide vanished into thin air.Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, who had actually suspended his struggling campaign earlier this summer due to low numbers and thin cash, staged an incredible resurrection. Re-entering the fray with the crucial backing of outgoing Gov.Tony Evers, Crowley pulled off a jaw-dropping comeback. With 95% of the vote tallied, Crowley squeaked out a victory with 39.81% over Hong\u2019s 39.34%, while Kelda Roys lagged far behind at 7.5%. The Associated Press officially called the race for Crowley, capping off one of the biggest polling whiffs in recent Badger State history.Across the lake in Michigan, pollsters didn\u2019t fare any better.In the Democratic senatorial primary, hard-Left favorite Abdul El-Sayed was projected to crush rival Rep.Haley Stevens. Emerson had El-Sayed cruising ahead by 15 points, Mitchell Research put him up by 14, and Data for Progress called it a 13-point lead.When the final tallies rolled in, the \u201clandslide\u201d turned into a total mud fight. El-Sayed barely managed to cross the finish line, eking out a razor-thin 1% victory over Stevens (48.5% to 47.5%), with Mallory McMorrow taking 4.0%.While both contests ended with outcomes vastly different from the promised hype, one trend is crystal clear: If you\u2019re looking for accurate predictions, you\u2019d probably have better luck asking a crystal ball than reading the latest poll.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Blue Route Journal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-12T17:37:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/19da116f8d79cf8987781569801c6b7c\"},\"headline\":\"From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-08-12T17:37:17+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224\"},\"wordCount\":362,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/b61529bf2f5063d28ac91a13e58ecc64.avif\",\"articleSection\":[\"News and Analysis\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blueroutejournal.com\\\/?p=2224\",\"name\":\"From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown - 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Instead, election night delivered a pair of nail-biting finishes that exposed pollsters as completely out to lunch.In Wisconsin, Democratic socialist state Rep. Francesca Hong was supposed to waltz into the governor\u2019s nomination. Pundits spent months hyperventilating over her double-digit dominance. Poll after poll showed Hong lapping the field. A late PPP poll put her up by 18, while Marquette had her leading by an eye-popping 22 points in late July.Yet when voters actually showed up, the supposed landslide vanished into thin air.Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, who had actually suspended his struggling campaign earlier this summer due to low numbers and thin cash, staged an incredible resurrection. Re-entering the fray with the crucial backing of outgoing Gov.Tony Evers, Crowley pulled off a jaw-dropping comeback. With 95% of the vote tallied, Crowley squeaked out a victory with 39.81% over Hong\u2019s 39.34%, while Kelda Roys lagged far behind at 7.5%. The Associated Press officially called the race for Crowley, capping off one of the biggest polling whiffs in recent Badger State history.Across the lake in Michigan, pollsters didn\u2019t fare any better.In the Democratic senatorial primary, hard-Left favorite Abdul El-Sayed was projected to crush rival Rep.Haley Stevens. Emerson had El-Sayed cruising ahead by 15 points, Mitchell Research put him up by 14, and Data for Progress called it a 13-point lead.When the final tallies rolled in, the \u201clandslide\u201d turned into a total mud fight. El-Sayed barely managed to cross the finish line, eking out a razor-thin 1% victory over Stevens (48.5% to 47.5%), with Mallory McMorrow taking 4.0%.While both contests ended with outcomes vastly different from the promised hype, one trend is crystal clear: If you\u2019re looking for accurate predictions, you\u2019d probably have better luck asking a crystal ball than reading the latest poll.","og_url":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224","og_site_name":"Blue Route Journal","article_published_time":"2026-08-12T17:37:17+00:00","author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/#\/schema\/person\/19da116f8d79cf8987781569801c6b7c"},"headline":"From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown","datePublished":"2026-08-12T17:37:17+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224"},"wordCount":362,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b61529bf2f5063d28ac91a13e58ecc64.avif","articleSection":["News and Analysis"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224","url":"https:\/\/blueroutejournal.com\/?p=2224","name":"From Landslides To Nail-Biters: The Great Midwest Polling Meltdown - 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